Baltimore police officers largely refused to respond to survey on their views of misconduct, discipline, GTTF commission says, Initial phase of Westminster shopping plaza construction nearing completion, with most tenants picked, Hopkins, U.S. Dionne’s archive, follow him on Twitter or subscribe to his updates on Facebook. Seth Moulton: Abolish the filibuster and the electoral college, Jennifer Rubin: Democrats may come to love the electoral college again, Paul Waldman: The electoral college is an abomination, and Democrats should keep talking about it, Gary Abernathy: Hey, liberals, you’re doing yourselves no favor by clamoring for an end to the electoral college. In final days, campaigns will tell us what they think of competition by where they spend time and money, Forget Dems griping, if you have the votes Mitch McConnell, call the vote for Supreme Court nominee, New Senate report reveals shocking corruption involving Hunter Biden, America’s November decision: Socialism or individualism. and View Comments, Terms of Use / Privacy Policy / Manage Newsletters. To simplify, let’s assume that the president is, for the most part, going to win where he won in 2016 and where he currently holds a narrow lead — Georgia, Texas and Iowa. Please enable JavaScript and reload this page. (Jahi Chikwendiu/The Washington Post). With the Electoral College, all presidential campaigning is focused on voters in a few swing states because the candidates know a vote in those states counts much more than a vote in the other states. Cohn’s conclusion: “It is even possible that Mr. Trump could win while losing the national vote by as much as five percentage points.”. Keep supporting great journalism by turning off your ad blocker. Donald Trump Jr. on father's taxes: 'People don't understand what goes into a business'. In all events, Mr. Biden needs to hold onto Minnesota. Here’s a better idea for Democrats. What they are really defending, without explicitly saying so, is the idea that states with a higher percentage of white, non-Hispanic voters should have a disproportionate influence on who becomes president. Joshua Spivak: The electoral college is a failure. Click to Read More George F. Will: The electoral college is here to stay. The electoral college tilts outcomes toward white voters, conservative voters and certain regions of the country. Take the case of our blithe acceptance of the electoral college. Jonah Goldberg’s arguments for not scrapping the Electoral College seem to argue for scrapping it (“Scrapping the electoral college is bad idea,” Sept. 18). But help is available. In Pennsylvania, his average lead in the “poll of polls” at Real Clear Politics is 4.3 percentage points, although Mr. Trump has tied him in a recent survey. No, it only requires an amendment, which has occurred 27 times. This means that the country could render a negative verdict on Trump’s time in office by swinging away from him in a big way — and he would still be president for four more years. Yesterday, the electoral college met and made it official—Donald Trump will be the next president of the United States, though we won’t formally know that until January 6, when Vice President Joe Biden, in his role as the departing President of the Senate, reads out the results. Election, vaccine uncertainty slow economic recovery in U.S. China’s military might, aggressive policies spur talks of creating ‘Asian NATO’, How To: Fix Dark Spots And Uneven Skin Tones, Mueller assistant pushed Trump-yacht meeting theory inside special counsel's office, Joe Biden's false claim about drunken driver draws renewed scrutiny, Donald Trump Jr. on father's taxes: 'People don't understand what goes into a business', Click That pattern of victories is unlikely. ADVERTISEMENT. Utilities can send shutoff notices to Maryland homes starting this week. - - If Cohn’s worst-case-for-democracy scenario materializes, 2020 could be that year. Our founders admitted that the electoral college system they created in the original Constitution was defective by altering it with the 12th Amendment in 1804 . Our founders admitted that the, college system they created in the original Constitution was defective by altering it with the 12th Amendment in 1804, . At this point in the campaign, there are only a handful of states that are truly up for grabs. For a country that has long claimed to model democracy to the world, this is both wrong and weird. Despite President Trump's steady and durable deficit in nationwide surveys, a closer look at the Electoral College map indicates that his pathways to victory remain open. Long election nights are what make junkies go wild and partisans go crazy. Americans who go to the polls on Election Day don't actually select the President directly. or democratic about choosing our president through a system that makes it ever more likely that the candidate who garners fewer votes will nonetheless assume power. What will you do when the mob shows up at your front door? Still, Cohn’s calculations were revelatory. [it’s] more likely to help than hurt Trump).”. Election Day is just a little more than six weeks from now, so these final decisions about where to spend time and money will decide the outcome. Quiz: Can you guess the code names of these U.S. presidents and their first ladies? If Mr. Trump loses it, he won’t win. That's been the case in two of the last five contests, but the odds are for a more decisive outcome. So in addition to being undemocratic, the electoral college encourages a particularly odious politician with no interest in uniting the country to do all he can to promote minority rule. Jonah Goldberg’s arguments for not scrapping the Electoral College seem to argue for scrapping it (“Scrapping the electoral college is bad idea,” Sept. 18). TOP STORIES It’s time we followed their lead in showing the same willingness to scrap a system that is sending us headlong into a national crisis. Sounds like the current campaign to me. Clinton led Trump by about 2.9 million popular votes, 2.1 percent. here for reprint permission. In Wisconsin, Mr. Biden’s average lead is 6.7 percentage points. Copyright © 2020 The Washington Times, LLC. Also, it is probably wise not to get too excited about the idea of Republicans out-registering Democrats in the last 18 months or so in Pennsylvania. An early-voting station at St. Catherine Laboure Catholic Church on Nov. 1, 2018, in Silver Spring. (The District of Columbia gets three, despite the fact that the home to Congress has no vote in Congress.) At some point, the majority will rise up. For a country that has long claimed to model democracy to the world, this is both wrong and weird. The assumptions underlying a controversy are often more important than the controversy itself. The Biden team is likely to focus on Pennsylvania, probably to the exclusion of other states. (Yes, fate has made “Nate” a name of choice for people in this line of work.) (Clay Bennett, Chattanooga Times Free Press), Ravens vs. Chiefs primer: An unwanted narrative for Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes; what to watch Monday, Police arrest more than 100 people in Ocean City during unauthorized ‘H2oi’ car rally, Ocean City officials defend large-scale police response to ‘H20i’ car rally: ‘Ugly at times ... but the plan worked’, Ravens place CB Tavon Young on injured reserve; three defensive backs called up for game vs. Chiefs, How to watch Ravens vs. Chiefs: Week 3 game time, TV, odds and what to read. Mr. Biden needs either to flip Pennsylvania and one among Michigan, North Carolina, or Wisconsin, or, in the event he loses Pennsylvania, he needs to win Michigan and North Carolina. If you narrowly hit the right numbers in some places, you take the pot. Pennsylvania is the key to the election. Joe Biden's false claim about drunken driver draws renewed scrutiny There is nothing normal or democratic about choosing our president through a system that makes it ever more likely that the candidate who garners fewer votes will nonetheless assume power. There are other scenarios involving New Hampshire and Nevada, but their probability is small and getting smaller. The Democrats still have a registration advantage of 750,000 in the commonwealth. Click The Electoral College is a factor only if the vote is decided by about two points or less. This will lead to a meltdown. • Michael McKenna, a columnist for The Washington Times, is the president of MWR Strategies. Our brewing troubles were underscored last month by the kerfuffle that Nate Cohn, the New York Times’ political numbers guru, set off with a story that ran under the headline “Trump’s Electoral College Edge Could Grow in 2020, Rewarding Polarizing Campaign.”, [George F. Will: The electoral college is here to stay], For election junkies, Cohn’s analysis ignited quite a stir, especially since it set off a “Nate vs. Nate” Twitter skirmish between Cohn and Nate Silver, another brand-name data maven. As a short-term strategic matter, Cohn is right to stress the importance to the 2020 result of states that were closely divided in 2016. As the campaign careens towards its denouement, the campaigns themselves will tell us what they think about the competition in various places by where they deploy the candidate and surrogates and spend donor money. JavaScript is required for full functionality on this website, but scripting is currently disabled. Police arrest partner of Ravens guard D.J. Wednesday, September 16, 2020, Biking the Battleground: Philadelphia down due to COVID-19, but far from out, Surge in gun sales set to break record: ‘They’re buying everything’, Quiz: Man-made and natural disasters test. 9 post, “Scrapping the electoral college is bad idea,”, Trump’s taxes: How about changing the law, Congress? The electoral college is in trouble An early-voting station at St. Catherine Laboure Catholic Church on Nov. 1, 2018, in Silver Spring. | READER COMMENTARY, Ellicott City man found guilty in federal court of drug trafficking, weapons charges, Family of slain Baltimore woman, child say charges against alleged killer were long time coming; dispute her characterization as a drug dealer. There is no reason they should, and at some point, they won’t. Add your voice: Respond to this piece or other Sun content by submitting your own letter. Let’s also assume that Mr. Trump will win Florida, which has been drifting back into his column for a few months. In Minnesota, Mr. Biden’s average lead has bounced around a bit, but is in the high single digits. Mr. Goldberg further claims if the Electoral College were eliminated, “Candidates would be incentivized to rack up huge majorities among their bases." Or purchase a subscription for unlimited access to real news you can count on. To return to the White House, Mr. Trump needs to win in Pennsylvania (again) and win in either Michigan or North Carolina, and win in Wisconsin or Minnesota. Silver’s main critique was fair enough: “There’s just not that much we can say about the Electoral College right now beyond a couple of fairly loose priors (e.g. He claims recounts would be a logistical disaster, but they’re only required now because a few hundred votes in a few states can swing the whole election. How will coronavirus change Halloween in Maryland? Mueller assistant pushed Trump-yacht meeting theory inside special counsel's office For more on these, check out our brief review of the electoral college forecasts.. Make Your Own Electoral Forecast. The Electoral College is a body of electors established by the United States Constitution, which forms every four years for the sole purpose of electing the president and vice president of the United States.The Electoral College consists of 538 electors, and an absolute majority of at least 270 electoral votes is required to win the election. He claims implementing it would require a “wholesale revision of the Constitution." As Cohn wrote, “the major Democratic opportunity — to mobilize nonwhite and young voters on the periphery of politics — would disproportionately help Democrats in diverse, often noncompetitive states.” On the other hand, the GOP’s opportunity is “to mobilize less educated white voters, particularly those who voted in 2016 but sat out 2018.” This “would disproportionately help them in white, working-class areas overrepresented in the Northern battleground states.”, Think about it: The Democratic nominee against Trump could beat him by far more votes than Hillary Clinton did in 2016 — and still lose. Eliminating the Electoral College allows each person’s vote to count equally — an idea Mr. Goldberg believes is only held by a “pure-democracy fetishist” — and ensures the president speaks for the majority of Americans. Read more from E.J. David Von Drehle: Abolish the electoral college? He stressed, for example, that higher turnout in 2020, which is generally seen as helping Democrats, could actually boost Trump in the key states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and especially Wisconsin by bringing out more of the Trump base. But while I have great affection for the Midwest, I see no just reason for an individual voter in California having far less power than an individual voter in, say, Wisconsin or Michigan. And the system’s bias toward white voters only encourages Trump’s habit of dividing the country along racial lines. He is a professor at Georgetown University, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a frequent commentator for NPR and MSNBC. Then he argues it’s undesirable for the government to answer to “50% plus one of voter." Obamas remind American voters why they elected Donald Trump, A response to woke pastors concerning Breonna Taylor, Trump stands alone as nations refuse to stop Iran from producing nuclear weapons, Anti-Zionist Gamal Abdel Nasser lives on in Egypt, Supreme Court controversy solved: Follow the Constitution, What to watch for in the first presidential debate, Trump correctly seizes opportunity to nominate Supreme Court justice, Hyperpartisan politics leaves America vulnerable to Russia and adversaries, Trump has a chance to destroy Biden like Reagan did to Carter in 1980 debate, Donald Trump, laughing his way to victory, Trump administration effectively addresses teen vaping epidemic, Google Senate hearing proves politicians do not understand how tech markets work, 30 years later, ‘Montenegrin Spring’ brings democracy. And there is also nothing neutral or random about how our system works. To refresh the memory, in 2016 Mr. Trump won in each of the remaining contested states — Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes), Michigan (16), North Carolina (15) and Wisconsin (10). To create your own forecast for the 2020 election, click on the states in the map to toggle them between Democrat, Republican and Tossup and watch the electoral map tallies change. Their strained claim is that a president is somehow more “representative” of the country if he wins by eking out tiny margins in several Midwestern states.
Angélique Et Le Sultan, Les Bordels De Paris, Le Prix De La Trahison Telenovela Streaming Vf, Monaco - Brest, Ets 2 Vive La France Map, Loi Du 3 Juin 1958 Relative Aux Pleins Pouvoirs, Bail Commercial Ou Professionnel,